Drawing balls from a bag (Permutations).

combinationscombinatoricsdata analysisprobabilityrandom

Question: " You have $3$ green balls, $1$ purple ball and $4$ red balls, all in a bag. What is the probability that when you (without replacement) draw $4$ balls, $3$ of them will be green and none of them will be red."

Basically, what is the probability that you draw all the green and purple balls?

Also, is this a permutation or combination question?

What I have tried: $\frac{4P4}{8P4} = \frac{1}{70}$.

Not sure if that is correct or not because it doesn't feel right. NOTE: I get the same answer if I use choose instead.

Best Answer

Your answer is correct. I'll show my attempt using a slightly different method. First,

let $g = green, \; p = purple, \; and \; r = red$

Then, we can realize that the ways of drawing all of the green balls, and then all of the purple balls is:

$1)\; G \; G \; G \; P$

$2)\; G \; G \; P \; G$

$3)\; G \; P \; G \; G$

$4)\; P \; G \; G \; G$

If we then consider the first possibility, $ G \; G \; G \; P$:

$= \frac{3}{8} \times \frac{2}{7} \times \frac{1}{6} \times \frac{1}{5}$

$= \frac{1}{280}$

Because the possibility of each of the four sequences is equal in this case, the total probability of getting all the green balls and all of the purple balls is

$4 \times \frac{1}{280}$

$=\frac{1}{70}$

Which is the answer you got :)