[Physics] Is the Earth gaining or losing mass over time

atmospheric scienceearthmassmeteorites

The earth presumably loses mass because molecules of the atmosphere disassociate and fly off into space where the solar wind carries them away.

On the other hand the earth gains mass because particles of dust and meteorites strike the earth and accumulate onto it.

Which force is dominant? Does the earth gain mass over time or lose mass?

Best Answer

We really don't know the figures of mass loss, or mass gain through cosmic dust accumulation.

Mass loss through Hydrogen and Helium

According to some calculations, the Earth is losing 50,000 tonnes of mass every single year, even though an extra 40,000 tonnes of space dust converge onto the Earth’s gravity well, it’s still losing weight.

If you take the lower end of the mass accumulation estimation from cosmic dust, that is 5 metric tonnes daily, this results in a figure of 1825 metric tonnes a year, resulting (if you take 50,000 tonnes a year of $\mathrm H_2$ and $\mathrm{He}$ as accurate), in a definite answer that the Earth is losing mass.

A break even figure for mass equilibrium is 137 tonnes of comic dust daily, which is almost midway between the (widely differing) estimates of 5 to 300 tonnes of cosmic dust thought to fall on Earth daily.

Cosmic Dust Estimates

Even though we consider space to be empty, if all the material (cosmic dust mainly) between the Sun and Jupiter were compressed together it would form a moon 25 km across. Satellite observations suggest that 100-300 metric tons of cosmic dust enter the atmosphere each day. This figure comes from the rate of accumulation in polar ice cores and deep-sea sediments of rare elements linked to cosmic dust, such as iridium and osmium. But other measurements – which includes meteor radar observations, laser observations and measurements by high altitude aircraft — indicate that the input could be as low as 5 metric ton per day.

The answer is we really don't know, but as we seem to have more accurate figures on mass loss than mass gain, it seems we can have more confidence that Earth has a net mass loss.

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