A six faced fair dice is thrown until 1 comes,
then what is the probability that 1 comes in even no. of trials?
I tried my best and my efforts include:
I find the
probability of getting a 1 on 2nd throw $p(2) = (5/6) (1/6)$
probability of getting a 1 on 4th throw $p(4) = (5/6)^3 (1/6)$
probability of getting a 1 on 6th throw $p(6) = (5/6)^5 (1/6)$
then I combine them like $p = p(2)+p(4)+p(6)+ \ldots$
now, which formula should I apply to solve this problem?
Best Answer
Let $p$ be the probability that $1$ comes in even number of trials.
$p=P(\textrm{first }1 \textrm{ comes in the second trial})+P(\textrm{first }1 \textrm{ comes in the $2n$th trial, where $n>1$})$
$p=\frac56\times\frac16+(\frac56)^2p$
$p=\frac5{11}$