Strong law of large numbers for triangular arrays

law-of-large-numbersprobabilityprobability theoryprobability-limit-theorems

Consider a triangular array $X_{n,1},\ldots,X_{n,n}$ of rowwise i.i.d. real random variables with $ \sup_{n \in \mathbb{N}} \mathbb{E}\vert X_{n,1} \vert < \infty$ and $ \lim_{n \rightarrow \infty} \mathbb{E} X_{n,1} := \mu < \infty $ exists. Does under the standing assumptions the strong law of large numbers hold, i.e.
\begin{align}
\frac{1}{n} \sum_{i=1}^n X_{n,i} \stackrel{a.s.}{\longrightarrow} \mu \qquad \text{as } n \longrightarrow \infty?
\end{align}

If yes and if it is not a trivial conclusion from a well known theorem, do you know some references where the statement is written down?

Best Answer

The answer is negative, moreover, even the convergence in probability may fail.

For example, let $X_{n,i} = n$ with probability $1/n$ and $0$ with probability $1-1/n$. Then, $\mathrm{E}[X_{n,i}] = 1$ for all $n,i$, but $$ \mathrm P\Bigl(\frac 1n \sum_{i=1}^n X_{n,i} =0 \Bigr) = \Bigl(1-\frac1n\Bigr)^n \to \frac1e,\quad n\to\infty. $$ (Actually, by the Poisson limit theorem, $\frac 1n \sum_{i=1}^n X_{n,i}$ converges in law to the Poisson distribution with parameter $1$.)

Concerning some positive answers under additional assumptions, see e.g. this topic.