[Math] Tree Diagrams Probability

bayes-theoremprobability

  1. A box contains $20$ chocolates, of which $15$ have soft centres and $5$ have hard centres. Two chocolates are taken at random, one after the other. Calculate the probability that,
    a. both chocolates have soft centres, $[2]$
    b. one of each chocolate is taken, $[2]$
    c. both chocolates have hard centres, given that the second chocolate has a hard centre. $[4]$

a.
$P(SS)= (15/20)(14/19)= 21/38$

b.
$P(\text{sorting})= (SH)+(HS)= (15/20 x5/19)+(5/20 x15/19)= 15/38$

c.
P(Both H and second is H) divide by P(second is H)

Using formula: $P(BH | 2H)/(2H)$

How to tackle with it, i try all combination but do not get the answer $(20/83)$

Best Answer

The answer for (c) does not come out to be 20/83 according to my method either, so can you show what answer you get?

I get 4/19 as the required probability for (c) by

P(H ∩ H) / (P(H ∩ H) + P(S ∩ H))

where, S is the event of choosing a soft centered chocolate and H is the event of choosing a hard centered chocolate.

Related Question