Probability Theory – Tightness Condition for Normally Distributed Random Variables

probability theory

Let $(X_n)_{n\geq 1}$ be a sequence of random variables such that $X_n\sim N(\mu_n,\sigma_n)$ for all $n\geq 1$. Then i'm trying to deduce that if $(X_n)_{n\geq 1}$ is tight in the sense that
$$
\forall \varepsilon>0\,\exists r>0: \sup_{n\geq 1}P(|X_n|>r)<\varepsilon,
$$
then $\sup_{n\geq 1} (|\mu_n|+\sigma_n^2)<\infty$.
My approach so far has been to assume that $\sup_{n\geq 1} (|\mu_n|+\sigma_n^2)=\infty$ and then try to show that $(X_n)$ cannot be tight. Under this assumption me must have that either $\sup_n |\mu_n|=\infty$ or $\sup_n \sigma_n^2=\infty$. In either case I'm not sure how to show that for $r>0$ the following
$$
P(|X_n|>r)=\int_{(-\infty,-r]\cup [r,\infty)} \frac{1}{\sqrt{2\pi \sigma_n^2}}e^{-(x-\mu_n)^2/\sigma_n^2} dx
$$
is not arbitrarily small. Is this the right approach?

Best Answer

Event if it is not necessary, I would rather distinguish two cases: the case $\sup_n |\mu_n| = + \infty$, and the case $\sup_n \sigma_n = + \infty$

1) If $\sup_n |\mu_n| = + \infty$: note that $\mu_n$ is the median of $X_n$. Hence, $\mathbb{P} (|X_n| > |\mu_n|) \geq 1/2$. For all $M> 0$, there exists a $n$ such that $|\mu_n| \geq M$, and for this value of $n$ we get $\mathbb{P} (|X_n| > M) \geq 1/2$. hence, for all $M \geq 0$, we have:

$$\sup_n \ \mathbb{P} (|X_n| > M) \geq 1/2,$$

which contradicts the tightness. Actually, one can also prove that, in this case, $\sup_n \ \mathbb{P} (|X_n| > M) = 1$.

2) If $\sup_n \sigma_n = + \infty$: note that the density of the law of a normally distributed random variable of mean deviation $\sigma$ is bounded above by $(\sigma \sqrt{2 \pi})^{-1}$. Hence, for all $m > 0$ and all $n$,

$$\mathbb{P} (|X_n| \leq M) \leq \int_{-M}^M \frac{1}{\sigma_n \sqrt{2 \pi}} \ dx = \frac{M}{\sigma_n} \sqrt{\frac{2}{\pi}},$$

so that:

$$\sup_n \ \mathbb{P} (|X_n| > M) \geq \sup_n \left( 1- \frac{M}{\sigma_n} \sqrt{\frac{2}{\pi}} \right) = 1.$$