[Math] Three people each flip two fair coins.Find the probability that exactly two of the people flipped one head and one tail.

combinatoricsprobability

Three people each flip two fair coins.Find the probability that exactly two of the people flipped one head and one tail.


Out of three persons,two persons can be chosen in $\binom{3}{2}$ ways.Each person flips two fair coins.So each persons gets $HH,HT,TH,TT$.Probability of a person getting one head and one tail is $\frac{1}{2}$.

So the probability that exactly two of the people flipped one head and one tail is $\binom{3}{2}\times\frac{1}{2}\times\frac{1}{2}=\frac{3}{4}$

But my answer is wrong.What is wrong in my approach.Please help me.

Best Answer

As you say, the probability of a person getting one head and one tail is $\frac12$. The probability of getting two heads or two tails is $\frac12$. Altogether, we'll have:

$${3 \choose 2}\times\left(\frac12\right)^2\times\frac12 = \frac38.$$

The $\left(\frac12\right)^2$ accounts for the two people who get a head and a tail, and the final $\frac12$ accounts for the one person who doesn't.

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