Consider the problem of a rolling a three-sided die six times (independently). The probability of seeing 1 is 0.5, 2 is 0.25, and 3 is 0.25. With this model, I have been given the claim that:
We know that there are $6\choose{2}$ ways of rolling exactly two
1's.
This does not look right to me. If it was a coin-tossing model with binary outcomes, that would be right.
But since we have 3 outcomes for each roll, we can count the set of all length-6 rolls with two 1's by first specifying the index position of the two 1's $6\choose2$ ways, and then the outcome of the remaining four rolls (which has $2^4$ ways), for a total of $2^4\times {6\choose2}$ ways.
Is this reasoning correct?
Note: The motivation is question 2 from this problem and solution on OpenCourseWare.
Best Answer
The key seems to be in the sentence (from the linked-to solution) that precedes what you quoted:
In other words, they are reducing things to the coin-tossing model.