I am trying to understand the concept of strong Markov property quoted from Wikipedia:
Suppose that $X=(X_t:t\geq 0)$ is a
stochastic process on a probability
space
$(\Omega,\mathcal{F},\mathbb{P})$ with
natural filtration
$\{\mathcal{F}\}_{t\geq 0}$. Then $X$
is said to have the strong Markov
property if, for each stopping time
$\tau$, conditioned on the event
$\{\tau < \infty\}$, the process
$X_{\tau + \cdot}$ (which maybe needs
to be defined) is independent from
$\mathcal{F}_{\tau}:=\{A \in \mathcal{F}: \tau \cap A \in \mathcal{F}_t ,\, \ t \geq 0\}$ and
$X_{\tau + t} − X_{\tau}$ has the same
distribution as $X_t$ for each $t \geq 0$.
Here are some questions that make me stuck:
- In $\mathcal{F}_{\tau}:=\{A \in
\mathcal{F}: \tau \cap A \in
\mathcal{F}_t ,\, \ t \geq 0\} $,
what does $\tau \cap A $ mean?
$\tau$ is a stopping time and
therefore a random variable and $A$
is a $\mathcal{F}$-measurable
subset, but what does $\tau \cap A$
mean? - How is the process $X_{\tau + \cdot}$ defined from the process $X_{\cdot}$ ? Is it the translated
version of the latter by $\tau$? -
How is the conditional independence
between a process, such as $X_{\tau
+ \cdot}$, and the sigma algebra, such as $\mathcal{F}_{\tau}$, given
an event, such as $\{\tau <
\infty\}$, defined?Related question, is independence
between a random variable and a
sigma algebra defined as
independence between the sigma
algebra of the random variable and
the sigma algebra? - Is "$X_{\tau+ t} − X_{\tau}$ has the
same distribution as $X_t$ for each
$t \geq 0$" also conditional on the
event $\{\tau < \infty\}$?
Thanks and regards!
Best Answer
Here is a less garbled version of the Wikipedia definition. (Use TheBridge's correction for the definition of ${\cal F}_\tau$.) The post-$\tau$ process $X_{\tau+\cdot}$ is defined on the event $\{\tau<\infty\}$ by $$ X_{\tau+t}(\omega) = X_{\tau(\omega)+t}(\omega),\qquad t\ge 0, $$ for $\omega\in\{\tau<\infty\}$. One way to state the strong Markov property is this: The conditional distribution of $X_{\tau+\cdot}$ given ${\cal F}_\tau$ is (a.s.) equal to the conditional distribution of $X_{\tau+\cdot}$ given $\sigma\{X_\tau\}$, on the event $\{\tau<\infty\}$. More precisely, $$ P[ X_{\tau+t}\in B|{\cal F}_\tau] = P[ X_{\tau+t}\in B|X_\tau],\qquad \hbox{almost surely on }\{\tau<\infty\}, $$ for all $t\ge 0$, and all measurable subsets $B$ of the state space of $X$.
This is equivalent to the statement that $X_{\tau+\cdot}$ and ${\cal F}_\tau$ are conditionally independent, given $X_\tau$: $$ P[ F\cap \{X_{\tau+t}\in B\}|X_\tau] = P[ F|X_\tau]\cdot P[X_{\tau+t}\in B|X_\tau],\qquad \hbox{almost surely on }\{\tau<\infty\}, $$