[Math] Question on uniform distribution

probabilityprobability distributions

Two people agree to meet each other on a particular day, between 5 and 6 PM, They arrive independently on a uniform time between 5 and 6 and wait for 15 mintues. What is the probability that they meet each other ?

Best Answer

As nicely described by Eric Angle, we can assume that each arrival time is uniformly distributed in the interval $[0,1]$.

Let $X$ be the arrival time of A, and $Y$ the arrival time of B. We want $\Pr(|X-Y|\le 1/4)$.

1) Draw the square that has corners $(0,0)$, $(0,1)$, $(1,1)$, and $(0,1)$.

2) Draw the lines with equations $y=x-1/4$ and $y=x+1/4$.

3) We want the probability that the point $(x,y)$ that records the arrival times of A and B lies between the two lines we drew in 2).

4) Since the square has area $1$, and the arrival times are uniform and independent, this probability is the area of the part of the square between $y=x-1/4$ and $y=x+1/4$.

5) Find that area. Note that our region is the square with two (congruent) isosceles right triangles removed. It is easy to find the area of these triangles.

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