[Math] Probability that at least one fails

probability

A certain component of an electronic device has a probability of $0.1$ of failing. If there are $6$ such components in a circuit. What is the probability that at least one fails?

The Answer is $0.47$.

My Solution:

At least $1$ means more than $1$ failures

$P(1\, \text{fail}) = 0.1 \\ P(2\, \text{fails})=0.1\times0.1 \\P(3\, \text{fails})=0.1^{3}\\P(4\, \text{fails})=0.1^{4}\\P(5\, \text{fails})=0.1^{5}\\P(6\, \text{fails})=0.1^6\\ P(\text{Total})=P(1) +P(2)+…+P(6)=0.111111$

Where did I get wrong?

Best Answer

Among $6,1$ can fail in $\binom 61$ ways etc.

So, the required probability will be $$\sum_{1\le r\le 6}\binom 6 r\left(\frac1{10}\right)^r=1-\left(1-\frac1{10}\right)^6$$


Alternatively, the probability that at least one fails $=1-$ the probability that all succeed $$=1-\left(1-\frac1{10}\right)^6$$

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