[Math] Probability of one followed by another

probability

I am working on my homework and have been stuck on this problem for two hours:

There are 39 chocolates in a box, all identically shaped. There are 16 filled with nuts, 13 with caramel and 10 are solid chocolate. You randomly select one piece, eat it, and then select a second piece. Find the probability of selecting a solid chocolate, followed by a caramel chocolate. Write your answer as a fraction in the form a/b.

I do have the answer, it's 130/1482, or 5/57, however I don't know how this answer was made.

An explanation on how to do this would be very much appreciated. Unfortunately my teacher doesn't provide formulas for what we learn.

Best Answer

Hints:

  • What is the probability that the first piece is solid chocolate?
  • Given that the first piece was solid chocolate, what are the remaining $38$ pieces?
  • Given that the first piece was solid chocolate, what is the probability that the second piece is caramel chocolate?
  • Combining these results, what is the joint probability that the first piece is solid chocolate and the second piece is caramel chocolate?