[Math] Probability of multiple trials

probabilityprobability theory

give an event $E$ and probability that event occurs as P. If it was attempted $1000$ times. What would be the answers to the following question.

  • probability of at least the event occurring one time ? is it $1-(1-P)^{1000}$
  • probability of at most the event occurring one time? is it $P*(1-P)^{999}$
  • probability of at least the event occurring three times? is it $P^3*(1-(1-P)^{997})$
  • probability of at most the event occurring three times ? is it $P^3*(1-P)^{997}$
  • probability of event occurring more than one time ? is it $P^2*(1-(1-P)^{998})$
  • probability of event not occurring at all ? is it $(1-p)^{1000}$

Best Answer

Hints:

The probability it happens $k$ times in $n$ independent attempts is $P(k)={n \choose k}p^k (1-p)^{n-k}$. Your attempts seem to have ignored the binomial co-efficients which count the different possible orderings of successes.

To answer the questions, consider:

  • $1$ minus probability $k=0$
  • probability $k=0$ or $k=1$
  • probability $k=0$ or $k=1$ or $k=2$ or $k=3$
  • $1$ minus probability $k=0$ or $k=1$ or $k=2$
  • $1$ minus probability $k=0$ or $k=1$
  • probability $k=0$
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