[Math] Moving limit inside the probability

limitsprobabilityprobability theory

Reading different answers in this forum I found out some hint, but still I'm not sure of the answer.

$$\lim_{n \to \infty}P\left(\bigcup_{k\ge n}^{\infty}A_k\right) = P\left(\lim_{n \to \infty}\bigcup_{k\ge n}^{\infty}A_k\right)$$
For what I understood the following is feasible because $\bigcup_{k\ge n}^{\infty}A_k$ is a decreasing sequence, is it right?

Does it hold in a generic case that $\lim\limits_{n \to \infty}P(A_k) = P(\lim\limits_{n \to \infty}A_k)$?

In particular I'm referring to the following answers: Can limit be taken inside the measure?

Best Answer

You can already find a good discussion of this topic here and in many textbooks, blogs, etc.

An explicit example of events $A_n$ such that $\lim_{n\to\infty} \mathbb P(A_n)\not=\mathbb P(\limsup_{n\to\infty}A_n)$ is as follows. Let $\mathbb P$ be uniform measure on $[0,1]$. Let $B_{i,j}$ denote the interval $[\frac{i}{j},\frac{i+1}{j}]$ and let $(A_n)$ be the sequence $$ \begin{matrix} B_{0,1},\\ B_{0,2},&B_{1,2}\\ B_{0,3},&B_{1,3},&B_{2,3}\\ \end{matrix} $$ and so on, reading left to right then top to bottom. Then $\limsup_{n\to\infty}A_n=[0,1]$, whereas the probability of the sets steadily decreases to $0$: in row $k$, all sets have proability $1/k$.

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