[Math] Let $A,B,C$ be events. Find an expression for the event “at least one of B and C occur, but A does not”

probability

Let $A,B,C$ be events. The event "$A$ and $B$ occur but $C$ does not" may be expressed as $A \cap B \cap C^c$.

(a) Find an expression for the event "at least one of B and C occur, but A does not"

(b) Show that the probability of event in (a) is equal to

$\mathbb{P}(B)+\mathbb{P}(C)-\mathbb{P}(B\cap C)-\mathbb{P}(A\cap C)+\mathbb{P}(A\cap B \cap C)$


I claim that the answer to (a) is $(B \cup C)\cap A^c$. Can someone confirm or deny?

I have no idea how to proceed from here. From previous work, I have proven the following results:

$\mathbb{P}(A\setminus B)=\mathbb{P}(A)-\mathbb{P}(A \cap B)$

$\mathbb{P}(A\cup B)=\mathbb{P}(A)+\mathbb{P}(B)-\mathbb{P}(A\cap B)$

My main concern about (a) is what exactly they mean by "at least one" and the use of the operator "and".

Best Answer

My main concern about (a) is what exactly they mean by "at least one" and the use of the operator "and".

"At least one of" a series of events means you have an inclusive union. $A\cup B$ means the event of $A$ happening, or $B$ happening, or both happening.

"and" means the intersection. $A\cap B$ means the event of $A$ and $B$ both happening.

So your answer is confirmed, $(B\cup C)\cap A^c$ and as a hint this is equal to $(B\cup C)\setminus A$. Now apply your rules.