[Math] In a family with 3 children, what is the probability that they have 2 boys and 1 girl

algebra-precalculusprobability

I'm doing some regents practice questions, and one of them asked

In a family with 3 children, what is the probability that they have 2
boys and 1 girl?

And the answer choices are

  1. 3/8
  2. 1/4
  3. 1/8
  4. 1/2

My teacher said the answer was choice one but I'm having trouble understanding why.

My approach was to draw out the probabilities, since we have 3 children, and we are looking for 2 boys and 1 girl, the probabilities can be Boy-Boy-Girl, Boy-Girl-Boy, and Girl-Boy-Boy. So a 2/3 chance, but I don't get how it's a 3/8 chance. Any help is appreciated.

Best Answer

No, the possible outcomes are $$\mathsf{BBB, \boxed{\mathsf{BBG}}, \boxed{\mathsf{BGB}}, \boxed{\mathsf{GBB}}, BGG,\mathsf{GBG}, GGB, GGG}$$ wherein $3$ meet the requirement. There are $8$ possible outcomes, all equally likely (if we assume each gender is equally likely). Hence the choice is $3/8$.

We can also think about it in at least one more way: You identified all the possible ways to get 2 boys and one girl. Since the events are disjoint, we can add up the probabilities \begin{align*} P(\text{2 boys, 1 girl}) &= P(\mathsf{BBG})+P(\mathsf{BGB})+P(\mathsf{GBB}) \\ &= \frac{1}{2}\frac{1}{2}\frac{1}{2}+\frac{1}{2}\frac{1}{2}\frac{1}{2}+\frac{1}{2}\frac{1}{2}\frac{1}{2} \\ &= \frac{3}{8}. \end{align*}

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