[Math] How to find UMVUE

parameter estimationprobability distributionsstatistical-inferencestatisticssufficient-statistics

I understand that for part A, we can show that Y is sufficient using the exponential family form. I also understand that for B, we must now use this statistic to find an unbiased UMVUE for theta. How do we go about showing this? Would it not be Y/n? And I have no idea how to do C so any hints would be much appreciated.

Best Answer

For part c) expanding on the hint, fix one of the observations $X_i$ (any one of the $n$ will do). WLOG, let it be $X_1$ and let an estimator be

$$W= \begin{cases} 1 & \text{if }X_1 \geq 1 \\ \\ 0 & \text{if }X_1 = 0 \end{cases} $$ Then $EW = P(X_1 \geq 1) = 1- P(X_1 =0) = 1-\exp(-\theta) = \eta$. So $W$ is an unbiased estimator (even though not a "sensible" one) of $\eta$. Now do "Rao-Blackwellizing", i.e., find $E(W \, | \, Y = y)$. The result will be UMVUE for $\eta$.

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