[Math] Expected value of a minimum

statistics

One of the problems of my Statistics assignment requires me to calculate the expected value of a minimum. Here's the situation:

The following density function is given: $f(x) = \frac{\theta}{x^2}$ where $x\ge\theta$ and $\theta>0$

I have to calculate: E[min{$X_i$}]

My initial guess was that the smallest possible value of $X$ is $\theta$ sense $x\ge\theta$ so the expected value of the minimum would be $\theta$, but then again, in an acquired sample, you can't be 100% certain that the smallest possible value of $X$ will be one of the observations. So what then?

Best Answer

Minima and expectations of nonnegative random variables are both well suited to complementary CDF, two remarks which together make for a painless solution.

In the present case, $\mathrm P(X_i\geqslant x)=\theta/x$ for every $i$ and every $x\geqslant\theta$ hence $M_n=\min\limits_{1\leqslant i\leqslant n}X_i$ is such that $\mathrm P(M_n\geqslant x)=\mathrm P(X_1\geqslant x)^n$ is $(\theta/x)^n$ if $x\geqslant\theta$ and $1$ if $x\leqslant\theta$.

Now, $\mathrm E(Y)=\int\limits_0^{+\infty}\mathrm P(Y\geqslant x)\mathrm dx$ for every nonnegative random variable $Y$, hence $$ \mathrm E(M_n)=\int_0^\theta 1\cdot\mathrm dx+\int_\theta^{+\infty}(\theta/x)^n\mathrm dx=\theta+\theta\int_1^{+\infty}\mathrm dx/x^n=\theta+\theta/(n-1), $$ that is, $$ \mathrm E(M_n)=n\theta/(n-1). $$ One sees that $M_1=X_1$ is not integrable, that $M_n$ is integrable for every $n\geqslant2$, and that $M_n\to\theta$ almost surely and in $L^1$ when $n\to\infty$.

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