Probability Theory – Expectation of Minimum of n i.i.d. Uniform Random Variables

expected valueorder-statisticsprobability theory

$X_1, X_2, \ldots, X_n$ are $n$ i.i.d. uniform random variables. Let $Y = \min(X_1, X_2,\ldots, X_n)$. Then, what's the expectation of $Y$(i.e., $E(Y)$)?

I have conducted some simulations by Matlab, and the results show that $E(Y)$ may equal to $\frac{1}{n+1}$. Can anyone give a rigorous proof or some hints? Thanks!

Best Answer

To calculate the expected value, we're going to need the density function for $Y$. To get that, we're going to need the distribution function for $Y$. Let's start there.

By definition, $F(y) = P(Y \leq y) = 1 - P(Y > y) = 1 - P(\text{min}(X_1, \ldots, X_n) > y)$. Of course, $\text{min}(X_1, \ldots X_n) > y$ exactly when $X_i > y$ for all $i$. Since these variables are i.i.d., we have $F(y) = 1 - P(X_1 > y)P(X_2>y)\ldots P(X_n>y) = 1 - P(X_1 > y)^n$. Assuming the $X_i$ are uniformly distributed on $(a, b)$, this yields $$F(y) = \left\{ \begin{array}{ll} 1 - \left(\frac{b-y}{b-a}\right)^n & : y \in (a, b)\\ 0 & : y < a\\ 1 & : y > b \end{array} \right.$$ We take the derivative to get the density function. $$f(y) = \left\{ \begin{array}{ll} \frac{n}{b-a} \left(\frac{b-y}{b-a}\right)^{n-1} & : y \in (a, b)\\ 0 & : \text{otherwise} \end{array} \right.$$ Now $E(Y) = \int_{-\infty}^{\infty} y f(y) dy$. The integral is straightforward; I'll leave the details to you. I calculate $E(Y) = \frac{b+na}{n+1}$.