[Math] Drawing 3 cards of same suit and 2 of a different suit

card-gamescombinatoricsprobability

What is the probability of having 3 cards of the same suit and $2$ cards of the same suit (but a different suit than the first three) in a $5$ card hand from a standard $52$ card deck?

What is the difference between solving this problem using approach (1) and (2). Assuming we divide both by ${52 \choose 5}$

$(1)$

$$
{4 \choose 1}\cdot{13 \choose 3}\cdot{3 \choose 1}\cdot{13 \choose 2}
$$

$(2)$

$$
{4 \choose 2}\cdot{13 \choose 3}\cdot{13 \choose 2}
$$

Why can't I just pick the two suits all at once? Why do they have to be separated out? In the first approach I don't have the problem of duplicates. A {10_Hearts, J_Hearts, K_Hearts, 3_Spades, Q_Spades} doesn't equal {3_Spades, Q_Spades, X_spades, 10_Hearts, J_Hearts}

Best Answer

Revised to match corrected question: If you pick the two suits at once, you don’t distinguish the case of (say) $3$ hearts and $2$ clubs from the case of $3$ clubs and $2$ hearts. Thus, you ought to get exactly half of the right answer, and indeed you do:

$$\binom42=6=\frac12\binom41\binom31\;.$$

If you want to start out by choosing the two suits, you can, but then you have to choose which is to get $3$ cards: all that can be done in $\binom42\binom21=12$ ways. That’s exactly what you get if you first choose the $3$ card suit and then the $2$-card suit from the $3$ remaining suits: $\binom41\binom31=12$. And you still have to choose the cards from the suits, so you still get factors of $\binom{13}3$ and $\binom{13}2$.