[Math] Conditions for Normal Approximation to Binomial

binomial distributionnormal distribution

It is well known that if $np > 5$ and $n(1-p) > 5$ that a normal distribution with mean $np$ and variance $np(1-p)$ can be used to approximate a binomial distribution.

My question is, what happens if the conditions are not satisifed, but I still want to do an approximation. Is there some sort of adjustment I can use?

Best Answer

In the first place your first claim is not really meaningful. Does it mean that if $np = n(1-p) = 5$ then a normal approximation to the binomial cannot be used? What about $4.9$? The point is that you need to specify what you mean by "approximate" before it makes proper sense. Furthermore, this claim is actually false if "approximate" means something like "within 10%" of the true value, since if $p = \frac5n$ then as $n \to \infty$ the binomial distribution tends (in the sense of its CDF) to the Poisson distribution instead, and not to the normal distribution, if I didn't remember wrongly.

That said, you are probably asking for a better approximation to the binomial distribution in the sense of having more higher-order terms. I don't know whether the tail bounds on Wikipedia would help you, since I'm not familiar with them.

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