[Math] Conditional probability given independent random variables

conditional probabilityprobabilityrandom variables

I have a fundamental question regarding conditional probability. Lets say I have $n$ independent random variables $X_1, X_2, \ldots, X_n$. Another random variable, $W$ is conditioned on the conjunction of these random variables: $P(W | X_1, X_2, X_3, \ldots, X_n)$. Given that $X_1, \ldots, X_n$ are independent, is it possible to write

$$P(W | X_1, X_2, X_3, \ldots, X_n) = P(W | X_1) \cdot P(W | X_2) \cdot \cdots \cdot P(W | X_n).$$

Or is the only way to rewrite is the Bayes theorem?

Best Answer

That expression is usually false for $n \gt 1$.

For example if $W$ is independent of all the $X_i$ and if $P(W)=p$ then the left hand side is $p$ while the right hand side is $p^n$, which is rather smaller.

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