I heard an interesting question recently:
What is the minimum number of people required to make it more likely than not that all 365 possible birthdays are covered?
Monte Carlo simulation suggests 2287 ($\pm 1$, I think). More generally, with $p$ people, what is the probability that for each of the 365 days of the year, there is at least one person in the group with that birthday? (Yes, ignoring the leap-day.)
Best Answer
For the coupon collector's problem with $n$ objects, let $T$ be the number of trials needed to get a complete set. Then we have the formula $$P(T\leq k)=n^{-k}\ n!\ \left\lbrace {k\atop n}\right\rbrace.$$ Here the braces indicate Stirling numbers of the second kind.
With $n=365$, Maple gives me $P(T\leq 2286)=.4994$ while $P(T\leq 2287)=.5003$, so that $2287$ is the smallest number to give a 50% chance to get all 365 birthdays.