[Math] Axiom of Finite Additivity and Axiom of Continuity imply Axiom of Countable Additivity.

probability theory

This exercice in particular comes from Statistical Inference by Casella and Berger, I have been following its solution manual. The exercice is 1.12 and can be found here http://exampleproblems.com/Solutions-Casella-Berger.pdf

Let $S$ be a sample space with associated $\sigma$-algebra $\mathcal{A}$.

Finite Additivity: Let $A,B \in \mathcal{A}$, $P(A \sqcup B) = P(A) + P(B)$

Continuity: Let $\{A_i\}_i$ be a sequence of nested sets s.t. $A_k \downarrow \emptyset$, then $P(A_k) \rightarrow 0$.

$$P\left(\bigsqcup_{i=1}^\infty A_i\right) = P\left(\bigsqcup_{i=1}^k A\right) + P\left(\bigsqcup_{i=k}^\infty\left) = \sum_{i=1}^k P(A_i) + P\right(\bigsqcup_{i=k}^\infty A_i\right)$$

Define $A^*_k = \bigsqcup_{i=k}^\infty A_i$, then $\{A^*_k\}_k$ is a sequence of nested sets. My problem is how to see that $A^*_k \downarrow \emptyset$. The argument is that $A_k \downarrow \emptyset$ as $k \rightarrow \infty$ otherwise the sum of probabilities would be infinite.

But for example, say $S = [0,1]$, $\mathcal{A} = \mathcal{B}([0,1])$ and for every $A \in \mathcal{A}$ we define $P(A)$ as its lebesgue measure, then $(S, \mathcal{A},P)$ is a probability space. In particular we can construct a nested sequence of sets $\{A_i\}$ st $A_i = \{x_0\}$ for all $i>k$, $\sum_i P(A_i) \leq 1$ and $A_i \not\downarrow \emptyset$.

What am I missing?

Best Answer

By continuity, $A_k \searrow A$ implies that $P(A_k) \to P(A)$ (because $A_k \setminus A \searrow \emptyset$).

Now $B_k = \bigcup_{n\geq k} A_n$ is a decreasing sequence, and $B_k \searrow A$ for some $A$.

If $P(A) > 0$, then we would have $P(\bigcup_{n \geq 1} A_k) = \infty = \sum_{n \geq 1} P(A_k)$ which doesn't make sense since $P$ is a probability.

Hence $P(A) = 0$, and we're done.

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