Suppose that a pair of cards are selected from a standard deck of 52 cards. And since there are 26 black cards and 26 red cards, so I'm wondering if my thinking is right?
${26!/25! * 26!/25!}$ so it would be ${26*26 = 676}$
combinatorics
Suppose that a pair of cards are selected from a standard deck of 52 cards. And since there are 26 black cards and 26 red cards, so I'm wondering if my thinking is right?
${26!/25! * 26!/25!}$ so it would be ${26*26 = 676}$
Break into two cases:
For ease of calculation, we treat the cards in our hand as order not mattering, allowing us to use binomial coefficients and not have to break this case down further into aaabc
, aaacb
, aabac
, aabca
, etc...
In trying to calculate the number of outcomes in the first case, we continue:
Multiplying these out give the number of hands where order doesn't matter which have one suit that has three cards and two suits which each have one card as being $$4\times \binom{3}{2}\times \binom{13}{3}\times 13\times 13$$
Now, if you want order of cards to matter, just multiply the result by $5!$.
The second case is calculated similarly, and I leave it to you to complete yourself.
Edit: More details
When applying multiplication principle, outcomes selected in one step are treated differently than outcomes selected in a later step. As such, in order to avoid overcounting, you need to ask yourself the question of if you were to answer the steps in one order you could have given answers in a different order and still arrived at the same outcome. Similarly, to avoid undercounting you need to ask yourself if every outcome is actually counted.
To illustrate your mistake here, let us consider a smaller problem. We have four people, two men and two women. Let the women be $A,B$ and the men be $X,Y$. We ask the question of "how many ways are there to select four people such that both genders are represented?"
Here... it should be painfully obvious that every way of selecting the people will have both genders represented. If we were to treat the selections as order matters, then this is very simply $4!$ number of arrangements, and if we treat selections as order doesn't matter there is very simply only $1$ outcome.
According to your logic, however... "Pick a representative for a first gender, pick a representative for the remaining gender, then pick the remaining" when counting the number of arrangements where order matters you would have had an answer along the lines of $4\times 2\times 2\times 1$ which is not the full $4!$. The reason why is that you very specifically counted only the cases where the first two people in the line are of a different gender and neglected to consider outcomes like $XYAB$ and $ABXY$, etc...
On the other hand, if we treated order as not being important, according to your logic, "Pick the used genders, pick a guaranteed representative for the males, pick a guaranteed representative for the females, pick the remaining people" you would have arrived at an answer similar to $\binom{2}{2}\times 2\times 2\times \binom{2}{2}=4$ which is certainly not $1$ which we knew ahead of time to be the correct answer. The error here is that by selecting a person to be the guaranteed representative for a gender, we have placed unnecessary importance on them. This would have been the correct answer to the question of picking four people from our four people, such that there are two genders present, where each gender has a designated "leader." Compare the proposed steps with "Pick the used genders, pick a leader for the males, pick a leader for the females, pick the remaining people."
To correctly count... anything which can be confused for one another if they were picked in sequence, instead pick simultaneously. In the first example, looking at a final outcome there is no confusion as to which suit was the suit that has three cards in it, it is obvious which that is. The two suits which each have one card however, we wouldn't have been able to tell which suit was chosen first and which was chosen second had the cards been mixed up. In the same way, the three cards chosen for the suit with three cards in it, if we were to pick them in sequence and then mixed the cards, we won't have the ability to know in what order they were picked any more after the mixing.
The steps I would use for correctly counting the second case, which again is the number of ways in which we can have two suits with two cards each and one suit with one card such that order doesn't matter:
This gives $\binom{4}{2}\binom{13}{2}\binom{13}{2}\times 26$ outcomes for the second case.
The final count where order doesn't matter is then:
$$4\times \binom{3}{2}\times\binom{13}{3}\times 13\times 13 + \binom{4}{2}\binom{13}{2}\binom{13}{2}\times 26$$
Where order does matter, multiply the above result by $5!$
Visualize the 26 red cards and the 27 "gaps" between them. You want the expected number of black cards in the first four gaps (before the 4th red card), and then you need to add 4 (since you need to count the first 4 red cards).
Each black card is equally likely ($1/27$) to be in any of the 27 gaps between the red cards. In particular, the probability of a black card being in the first four gaps is $4/27$. Thus, the expected number of black cards in the first four gaps is $26 \cdot \frac{4}{27}$.
Then, add $4$ to account for the red cards.
Best Answer
As @TonyK highlighted in the comment, there is another (and I would argue, more natural) interpretation of the question - where the order of draw matters.
Pick the first card - its colour doesn't matter. There are $52$ cards in the deck, so $52$ ways to do this. Then you're restricted to the other colour for the second pick, and there are $26$ such cards, giving you $26$ ways to pick the second card. Hence the number of ways in total is $(52)(26) = 1352$.
If the order of the hand (of two cards) that you've picked doesn't matter - for example, if you having picked the seven of hearts and then the ace of spades is considered the same pick as the ace of spades first then the seven of hearts, then you need to divide the possibilities by $2! = 2$ (to remove the extra possibilities from permuting the two cards in your hand). So the answer is $\frac 12 (52)(26) = 26^2 = 676$, as you originally calculated.
If you want to be complete, you can give both answers with an explanation, and I would do this with an open-ended answer, but if had to choose one interpretation, it would be the former and the answer would be $1352$.
By the way, your computation was a little obscure because you didn't explain why you multiplied such and such factorial and divided this and that factorial. This is a common failing in students who just apply formulae blindly, and that leads them to think combinatorics is harder than it really is. It's actually more productive to try to parse the problem with basic common sense and only then apply the math that you need. I'm sure you'll agree the above is easier to understand and explain to others.