Expectation of Squared Condtitional expectation and the tower property

conditional-expectationmeasure-theorystatistics

What can I say about $E(X \hat{X})$ where $\hat{X}$ is a version of $E(X|\mathcal{G})$, where $X \in \mathcal{L}^2(\Omega,\mathcal{F},\mathbb{P})$ and $\hat{X} \in \mathcal{L}^2(\Omega,\mathcal{G},\mathbb{P})$ and $\mathcal{G}$ is a sub-$\sigma$-algebra of $\mathcal{F}$?

I know I have to use the tower property of expectations to make this collapse, but two things confuse me
– the power (is then inside the conditional or outside the conditional expectation)
– and independence – nothing is stated about $\sigma(X)$ being independent of $\mathcal{G}$, so I'm not sure if I can collapse them then.

Any suggestions?

Best Answer

$E(X\hat {X} |\mathcal G)=\hat {X} E(X|\mathcal G)=\hat {X}^{2}$ because $\hat {X}$ is already measurable with respect to $\mathcal G$. Take expectation to get $EX\hat {X}=E\hat {X}^{2}$.