An exemple that convergence in probability does not imply convergence almost surely

almost-everywheremeasure-theoryprobability theory

In my lecture notes, there is the following example to study in order to show that convergence in probability does not imply convergence almost surely.

We consider the measurable space $([0,1], \mathcal{B}([0,1]), \lambda)$ and the random variable defined by $X_n(\omega) = \mathbb{1}_{[\frac{n}{2^{k(n)}}, \frac{n+1}{2^{k(n)}}]}(\omega)$. $k(n)$ is defined as the unique integer such that $2^{k(n)-1}\leq n < 2^{k(n)}$ and we notice that $k(n)$ form an increasing sequence and start at $1$.

The idea is to consider $\varepsilon\in]0,1[$ and notice that

$$
\mathbb{P}(\lvert X_n \rvert > \varepsilon) = \mathbb{P}\left(\{\omega\in[0,1] : \frac{n}{2^{k(n)}}\leq \omega\leq \frac{n+1}{2^{k(n)}}\}\right) = \frac{1}{2^{k(n)}}
$$

Which tends to $0$ as $n$ goes to infinity by the preceding remark on $k(n)$. So we conclude that $X_n$ converges in probability to $0$. Until here, that's fine. However, when I want to show that this is not a convergence almost surely, I am not so sure on what to do.

Using the definition of convergence almost surely, I would like to find a subset of $[0,1]$ with measure strictly positive on which $lim_{n\to\infty}X_n(\omega) = 1$.

Has someone any idea on how to proceed, please ?

Thank you a lot

Best Answer

The example hides the point of the exercise with unnecessary computation.

Show that $k(n) = \lfloor \log_2 n \rfloor +1$.

Let $I_n = [ {n \over 2^{k(n)} } ,{n+1 \over 2^{k(n)} } )$. Show that $I_{2^m},...,I_{2^{m+1}-1}$ form a partition of $[{1 \over 2},1)$.

Hence for any $\omega \in [{1 \over 2},1)$, we see that $\liminf_n X(\omega) = 0, \limsup_n X(\omega) = 1$.