Solved – Why do we compare p-value to significance level in hypothesis testing of mean

hypothesis testingp-valuestatistical significance

I know that:

p-value = P(observed or more extreme outcome of sample mean | Null hypothesis is true)

But why do we compare it with significance level (alpha) while determining if it is high or low?

How is significance level defined in this context?

Best Answer

The significance level ($\alpha$) is the rate at which you make Type I errors when the null hypothesis is true (or, for composite hypotheses, the maximum rate under the null).

You choose that rate.

Then any test statistic that's more extreme than the one that cuts off $\alpha$ in the tail (i.e. a test statistics more in keeping with the alternative) will cut off a smaller area. That area is the p-value. So when the p-value is small, it means your sample yields a test statistic inside the rejection region.

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(the picture is similar for two-tailed tests, but then yellow and green areas occur in both tails)

In order that you actually get that rate of rejection when the null is true, you need to reject that proportion of more extreme cases under the null -- so if your test statistic cuts off a smaller area (green) than the significance level, it's in the region of sample arrangements (in this case, those with unusually large means) that will lead you to reject.

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