Time Series – Show That a Time Series Process is Stationary

self-studystationaritytime series

Consider the time series
$$
x_t = B_1 + B_{2}t + w_t,
$$
where $B_1$ and $B_2$ are known constants and $w_t$ is a white noise process with variance $\sigma^2$.

Show that the process
$y_t = x_t – x_{t-1}$ is stationary.

For finding Covariance I cant seem to understand what to do.

Best Answer

Your discrete stochastic process is defined as:

\begin{equation} x_t = B_1 + B_2t + w_t~~~~~~~, ~~ w_t \sim WN(0,\sigma^2) \end{equation}

Clearly it is not stationary since:

$$E[x_t] = B_1+B_2t$$

Now we consider the differentiated process of $x_t$, using the lag operator ($LY_t=Y_{t-1}$):

$$ \Delta Y_t = (1-L)Y_t = Y_t - Y_{t-1} $$

$$ = B_1 + B_2t + w_t - (B_1 + B_2(t-1) + w_{t-1})$$

$$ = B_1 + B_2t + w_t - B_1 - B_2t + B_2 - w_{t-1} $$

$$ \Delta Y_t = B_2 + w_t - w_{t-1} $$

Now it is clearly stationary since we have:

$$ E[\Delta Y_t] = B_2~~,~~VAR[\Delta Y_t]=2\sigma^2 $$

and the covariance depends on time lag only.

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