Solved – Is Wilcoxon Signed-Rank Test the right test to use

hypothesis testingwilcoxon-signed-rank

I have a dataset of the following form:

Month     2000     2001
-----    ------   ------
March    100.71   101.54
April    102.56   103.01
May      101.45   101.23
June     102.78   103.37
July     104.79   105.62
August   105.61   105.63

Which is the average amount of a chemical taken at different months over 2000 and 2001.

I want to formally test whether the average amount of the chemical during 2001 is no greater than that of 2000. I was considering using the Wilcoxon Signed-Rank test but was unsure whether this test is the most suitable. I was also unsure whether this data is paired.

Because the sample size is small, I was under the impression that a t-test is out of the question and that a non-parametric test is required. So is the Wilcoxon Signed-Rank Test the best test to use in this case?

Best Answer

The Wilcoxon signed rank test is a nonparametric test for two populations when the observations are paired. Using the Wilcoxon signed rank test with two samples, s1 and s2 will allow you to test for the null hypothesis that s1 – s2 comes from a distribution with zero median and density that is symmetric about that median (thanks @ttnphns for spotting this). It is not concerned with averages (ie. means) at any point.

My main concern would be that that the Wilcoxon signed rank test asks for each pair to be chosen randomly and independently. Your data appears to be part of a timeseries so I would suspect a seasonal component to come into play.

I do not think that the Wilcoxon signed rank test assumptions are fulfilled for your particular case. You might want to "bend the rules" and say that each pair is random and independent of the others (so you are OK to use the W.s.r. test) but this is your choice to make.