Interpreting Effects – Main Effect and Interaction in Regression

interactionregression

I am doing a simple marketing project that has the following types of variables:

  • X1 – continuous (e.g. income)
  • X2 – categorical (e.g. gender)
  • Y – continuous (e.g. number of a product type purchased such as tubs of ice-cream)

I am interested in the relationship between income (X1) and product purchase (Y) but also the effect of gender (X2) on this relationship. (i.e. interaction or moderation effect).

I have centered X1 and have used the general linear model in SPSS. The result on Y is as follows:

  • X1 – significant
  • X2 – not significant
  • X1*X2 – not significant

How do I interpret this result in terms of main effect and interaction?

Best Answer

In general, you should not base your model selection solely on statistical significance. Substantive meaning is more important.

In this particular case, you can graph the predicted values for males and females, with the x-axis being income and the y-axis the number of items bought, and a line for each gender.

@gung makes a good point that, if the y-variable is a count, you should use an appropriate model, such as Poisson regression, or, more likely, negative binomial regression, since over-dispersion is very common in count regression.

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