Solved – In general, how should we find the pmf given only the moment generating function without comparing its form to that of famous pmf

distributionsmoment-generating-functionmomentsprobability-generating-fnrandom variable

Background

It is known that moment generating function generates moments, but does it hold information about the probability of the random variable being realised at a particular value?

Example

Focusing on only discrete random variable,

we have
$$M_Y(t) = \frac{2^t+e^{3t}+4k}{3}$$ for $t \in \mathbb{R}$ and $k$ is a constant.

Question
For the moment generating function in the example, how is it possible we know $\text{Pr}(Y=1)$ without comparing to the known form of some famous probability mass function?

Best Answer

Note that with a discrete distribution the contribution of an atom of probability at some particular $x$-value $x_0$ has a characteristic effect on the mgf.

For example, the probability $p_0$ at $X=0$ will have a term in the mgf of $p_0$.

A probability of $p_1$ at $X=1$ will have a term in the mgf of $p_1e^t$.

A probability of $p_2$ at $X=2$ will have a term in the mgf of $p_2e^{2t}$.

A probabiity of $p_i$ at $X=x_i$ will have a term in the mgf of $p_ie^{x_it}$.

This all follows directly from the definition of the mgf.

The overall mgf will be a sum of such terms.

Consequently, if you see in the mgf a sum of terms of the form $ae^{bt}$ that means that you have probability $a$ at $X=b$. If you can, simply convert all the terms to be in this form.

Once you have it in the form of a sum of terms like that, you can just write down the probability at any specific value.

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