Solved – How to report non-significant multiple regression

multiple regressionreportingstatistical significance

I tested my main hypothesis with a multiple regression, which (unfortunately) turned out to be not significant at all.
I am not sure in how to report the results now.

Which parameters should I include and how do I phrase the findings?

Best Answer

This is a profound question. At some time, it may be worth reading the American Statistical Association discussion on p-values: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5187603/

It gets more complex when you are modelling. With observational data, it is possible to try a vast combination of including / excluding predictors, adding interactions and so on. You can also have confounding whereby omitting predictors can mask an import effect. A lot of work is done in terms of model search, with techniques such as Lasso. However, you say you had a specific hypothesis (which you may have in an experimental setting). Failure to reject the null hypothesis here could be due to the null hypothesis being true, you having insufficient data, or any one of several technical assumptions failing. So I think you report it as saying you did not reject the null hypothesis. Especially if your sample size is small, I would report the summary statistics, and it really depends whether you think what you have could be important. If I did a study on poison, with two groups of three animals, I would not have a significant result. But I would have three dead animals in the treatment group. That is important, so I would report that. It is up to others to read this report and decide whether further investigation is appropriate.

I don't know what you mean by testing a main hypothesis. Are you looking at the F-value for the overall model fit, or at the Wald tests on the individual parameters?

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