Solved – How to calculate error propagation with different measures of error

errorerror-propagation

I am calculating the age of lake sediments at the base of a sediment core by dividing the total sediment mass of the core ($\mathrm{mg} \ \mathrm{cm}^{-2}$) by the sediment accumulation rate ($\mathrm{mg} \ \mathrm{cm}^{-2}\ \mathrm{y}^{-1}$).

Both the sediment mass and the accumulation rate have variation associated with them. The sediment mass is a mean of 3 samples and the accumulation rate is reported as $\pm 10\%$.

It is my understanding that I can calculate the error associated with age as:

$\sqrt{\left(\frac{\delta x}{x}\right)^2 + \left(\frac{\delta y}{y}\right)^2}$

where $\delta x$ and $\delta y$ are the relative error of the measurements being divided (i.e., $x$ and $y$).

The error associated with the sedimentation rate is $\pm \ 10%$ but the error associated with the sediment mass in a standard deviation.

Are these forms of error compatible within the above error propagation formula?

Thank you.

Best Answer

In some sense this depends on what you mean by $x$ and $\delta x$. Usually people mean that they are modeling $X$ as a random variable with mean $x$ and variance $(\delta x)^2$. Sometimes they mean the stronger condition that $X$ is actually Gaussian, and sometimes they have a broader meaning that $x$ and $\delta x$ can possible be other measures of the center and the spread.

A bit of calculus and handwaving shows that for small variations that are also approximatable as Gaussian, and $X$ and $Y$ independent, $f(X, Y)$ can be approximately described as having mean $f(x, y)$, and $(\delta f)^2 = (\delta x)^2 (\frac{\partial f}{\partial x})^2 + (\delta y)^2 (\frac{\partial f}{\partial y})^2$.

We can do the same thing for $a(m, r) = m /r$, where $a$ is the calculated age, $m$ is the mass, and $r$ is the rate.

$$ \begin{align*} (\delta a)^2 &= (\delta m)^2 / r^2 + (\delta r)^2 m^2 / r^4 \\ a^2 &= m^2 / r^2 \\ (\delta a)^2/a^2 &= (\delta m)^2/m^2 + (\delta r)^2 / r^2 \\ (\delta a)/a &= \sqrt{(\delta m)^2/m^2 + (\delta r)^2 / r^2} \\ \end{align*} $$

This matches the formula you have. You just have to convert between absolute errors and relative errors to be able to use it.

*EDIT*ed to add (incorporating comments): To convert the sedimentation rate to relative error, just use $(\delta r)/r = 10\% = 0.1$. You need to find the $\delta m$ = standard error for the mean. It's not clear whether you have $\delta m_i$ for each individual sediment core measurements. If you do, you want to find $m$ with a weighted mean and calculating the standard error is a bit tricky, but the prescription given above for general $f$ expands fine to three arguments. If it's not, the standard mean can be used and the variance in the sample can be used to calculate the standard error of the mean. The relative error is of course just $(\delta m)/m$.

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