Solved – Effect size in SEM: path coefficient vs. f2

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I am trying to understand the size of the effect of a construct on another in a PLS-SEM model. To do so, should I look at the f2 metric, at the path coefficients or both?

For what I have read, the f2 "effect size" tells whether a construct has a substantive impact on another one. Guidelines for assessing ƒ2 are (Cohen, 1988): values of 0.02, 0.15, and 0.35, respectively, represent small, medium, and large effects of an exogenous latent variable on an endogenous latent variable. Effect size values of less than 0.02 indicate that there is no effect.

In some places I have also found that standardized path coefficients with absolute values less than 0.1 may indicate a “small” effect, values around 0.3 a “medium” effect, and values greater than 0.5 a “large” effect.

Best Answer

When you do a statistical analysis, you get a parameter. Sometimes that's easy "Males were 4 inches taller than women". We know what it means to be male or female, and we know what inches are. Sometimes the parameters are not so interpretable. "A one unit change Log beta-interferon level was associated with a 4 point drop in PTSD score on the PCL" (I made that up), I don't know what a log beta interferon level is, and I don't know what a 4 point drop on the PCL means.

To get around this problem, there are standardized effect sizes, and Cohen gave some rough guidelines, based on his experience, for the sort of effect size you would expect in social and behavioral sciences (I forget, he might have just said behavioral). These effect sizes, like f^2 (which is a transformation of R^2), and r (the correlation) are designed to help interpretation when you don't know what else you're doing.

A correlation of 0.1 is a small correlation. But a correlation of 0.01, in a regression with one predictor, leads to an f^2 of 0.01. But an f^2 of 0.02 is a small effect size. How can this make sense? Because Cohen said "This is the sort of small effect size that I see in multiple regression - an f^2 of 0.02 (which is an R^2 of about 0.02) and this is the sort of small effect size that I see in correlation - an r of 0.1.

You are making the mistake of reifying these interpretations into something more meaningful. A correlation of 0.5 is a large effect size. But if you wrote "The correlation of the scores of the two blood pressure meters was calculated and found to be 0.5, which is large", you would (hopefully) be laughed at. In the context of two devices that try to measure the same thing, a correlation of 0.5 in incredibly low. Similarly, a correlation of 0.1 (which is small) between living near power lines and leukemia would be enormous.

So what should you do? You should interpret your parameters in the context of what you are investigating. And if you have no idea what that means, you can fall back on an effect size. It doesn't really matter which one, it's just a verbal way of quantifying the disease. It's a bit like when the doctor says "Your blood cell count is 19" and you ask what that means, the doctor says "Bad". The doctor won't describe your blood cell count to other doctors as "bad" because they know what it means.