Solved – Can Cox models be used with time-varying covariates

cox-modelhypothesis testinginterpretationsurvivaltime-varying-covariate

I work at a hard drive manufacturer. In my project, we have huge sets of testing data of hard drives. Most of them are time-varying covariates.

My colleges are using cox regression. I doubt it.

These testing parameters (covariates) are time-varying. They don't know how to interpret the coefficients estimated.

  1. Can they use Cox / survival for these time-varying covariates?

  2. If yes, how do we interpret the coefficients of these time-varying covariates?

  3. Can we use joint modeling of survival and longitudinal data for it?

  4. If not, what do you guys think is the best way to extract information from testing data and relate it to survival analysis?

  5. Do you know any good resource for researches like this?

Best Answer

First of - Yes, an extended Cox model can handle time dependent covariates (and coefficients) with ease, and with no change to the underlying model. Mind you that the data set needs to reflect this time dependency. For example:

subject time1 time2 event  var1  var2
   1      0     15    0     25    1.3
   1     15     46    0     25    1.5
   1     46     73    0     25    1.4
   1     73    100    1     25    1.6

var2 is a time dependent covariate. 

coxph(Surv(time1, time2, event) ~ var1 + var2, data = data)

        coef exp(coef) se(coef)    z  p
var1  -1.072  0.342     0.262  -3.44  0.00058
var2  -0.0574 0.944     0.022  -2.61  0.009

So in this made up example, var2 can be said that holding var1 constant each additional unit of var2 reduces the weekly hazard ratio by 5.6% on average.

The interpretation seems similar to non-time varying covariates, yet there is an underlying difference - that is that the time is taken into account. In a dummy variable that is time dependent it is simpler to understand - The time while the variable is not existent (0) is taken into account when calculating the effect on the hazard ratio.

You can see Using Time Dependent Covariates and Time Dependent Coefficients in the Cox Model by Therneau (creator of the survival package) for further explanations.

Related Question