I am very interested about the potential of statistical analysis for simulation/forecasting/function estimation, etc.
However, I don't know much about it and my mathematical knowledge is still quite limited — I am a junior undergraduate student in software engineering.
I am looking for a book that would get me started on certain things which I keep reading about: linear regression and other kinds of regression, bayesian methods, monte carlo methods, machine learning, etc.
I also want to get started with R so if there was a book that combined both, that would be awesome.
Preferably, I would like the book to explain things conceptually and not in too much technical details — I would like statistics to be very intuitive to me, because I understand there are very many risky pitfalls in statistics.
I am off course willing to read more books to improve my understanding of topics which I deem valuable.
Best Answer
Maybe you'd like something like Data Analysis and Graphics Using R: An Example-Based Approach by John Maindonald and W. John Braun
I agree with @Greg Snow that you may be better off thinking in terms of reading a number of different books. For each topic you mentioned (e.g., Bayesian statistics, time series, simulations, R, machine learning) there are good books dedicated to that particular topic. You may wish to ask separate questions about what would be a good book given your particular interests in that topic.
Good freely available online options