Propensity Scores – Converting ATE from a Doubly Robust Model into Odds Ratio

odds-ratiopropensity-scores

How would one convert the ATE Average Treatment Effect from a doubly robust model into Odds Ratio? Or is it better to discuss this by converting into risk ratio? If so, how is this done.

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Best Answer

If your outcome is binary, this is straightforward by noting that that the estimator is the difference between two counterfactual probabilities, and the odds ratio is just a ratio of the odds instead of of the probabilities. So, if

$$\hat{P}(Y^1=1) = n^{-1}\sum_{i=1}^n \left\{ \frac{A_i}{\hat{\pi}_i} Y_i - \frac{A_i - \hat{\pi}_i}{\hat{\pi}_i}\hat{E}(Y|A=1,X_i) \right\}$$ and $$\hat{P}(Y^0=1) = n^{-1}\sum_{i=1}^n \left\{ \frac{1-A_i}{1-\hat{\pi}_i} Y_i - \frac{A_i - \hat{\pi}_i}{1-\hat{\pi}_i}\hat{E}(Y|A=0,X_i) \right\}$$

and we know $\text{odds}(Y=1)=\frac{P(Y=1)}{1-P(Y=1)}$, then the DR estimator for the marginal causal odds ratio is simply

$$\frac{\hat{\text{odds}}(Y^1=1)}{ \hat{\text{odds}}(Y^0=1)} = \frac{\frac{\hat{P}(Y^1=1)}{1-\hat{P}(Y^1=1)}}{\frac{\hat{P}(Y^0=1)}{1-\hat{P}(Y^0=1)}}$$

To get confidence interval you can bootstrap or use the delta method or M-estimation to estimate the marginal log odds ratio from the marginal probabilities.